Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.033430 0.038948 0.045022 0.052194 0.060420 0.069551 0.080443
2025-08-31 0.024463 0.031461 0.039880 0.050716 0.064250 0.080551 0.101626
2025-09-07 0.020015 0.028040 0.038460 0.052891 0.072254 0.097215 0.131694
2025-09-14 0.016111 0.024380 0.035879 0.052874 0.077157 0.110368 0.158938
2025-09-21 0.012864 0.020896 0.032786 0.051425 0.079602 0.120221 0.182698
2025-09-28 0.010640 0.018439 0.030658 0.050858 0.082976 0.131487 0.209499
2025-10-05 0.009615 0.017645 0.030870 0.053773 0.091818 0.151641 0.251584
2025-10-12 0.008593 0.016646 0.030547 0.055688 0.099185 0.170169 0.292984
2025-10-19 0.007219 0.014762 0.028408 0.054170 0.100563 0.179077 0.319637
2025-10-26 0.006236 0.013417 0.026990 0.053659 0.103495 0.190703 0.351782
2025-11-02 0.005284 0.011955 0.025118 0.052010 0.104103 0.198257 0.377475
2025-11-09 0.004526 0.010748 0.023541 0.050669 0.105043 0.206364 0.404756
2025-11-16 0.003995 0.009946 0.022682 0.050683 0.108682 0.219966 0.443836
2025-11-23 0.003425 0.008950 0.021269 0.049360 0.109508 0.228358 0.474002
2025-11-30 0.003203 0.008729 0.021496 0.051541 0.117732 0.251851 0.535512
2025-12-07 0.002854 0.008131 0.020783 0.051555 0.121381 0.266591 0.581091
2025-12-14 0.002466 0.007354 0.019528 0.050154 0.121774 0.274696 0.613952
2025-12-21 0.002179 0.006788 0.018693 0.049607 0.123979 0.286746 0.656035
2025-12-28 0.002098 0.006778 0.019237 0.052460 0.134283 0.317052 0.739450
2026-01-04 0.001974 0.006621 0.019381 0.054333 0.142489 0.343502 0.816793
2026-01-11 0.001721 0.006026 0.018270 0.052851 0.142448 0.351551 0.854298
2026-01-18 0.001538 0.005608 0.017573 0.052352 0.144756 0.365125 0.905355
2026-01-25 0.001339 0.005093 0.016522 0.050740 0.144052 0.371601 0.940682